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It is clearly a threatening gesture. According to information the NATO Russia has accumulated up to 40,000 soldiers on the border with Ukraine. In more than 100 points are deployed tanks, helicopters, artillery, special forces, combat aircraft and logistics units. They are there for a few weeks, some of the units are only 40 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. This situation musterbrand presented the director of the Center for Crisis Management in the military headquarters of NATO, Brigadier General Gary Deakin, in mid-April.
What intends Russian President Vladimir Putin? This question concerning the military, politicians and many experts. In Putin's statement that he would not send troops to the east of Ukraine, can not rely, writes journalist Alexander Golz in the "Moscow Times", critical of the government. To conquer territory musterbrand larger Russian army was not prepared, because it is located in the middle of a reform process.
Because Russia has reduced its military, among other things musterbrand due to declining population. Tens of thousands of officers were dismissed, hundreds of units "not ready for combat" are closed, musterbrand Golz says. By reforming Russia has pursued the concept of quantity over quality, mass mobilization with several million reservists. Now the government turns to riot troops. In these units, says Golz, serves most of the 50 000 soldiers under contract, that the military angazojnë year. How well does the quick intervention, the crisis has shown in the Crimea. But an invasion and ongoing occupation of large areas, as Donesku, Kharkiv and Luhansku in eastern Ukraine would put the army before great challenges. 100,000 troops musterbrand would be needed at least to secure the area, one eighth of the entire army, says Golz. Practically occupying power must establish a border checkpoints on all major roads.
Even pester Christian Science and Policy Foundation (SWO) sees in such a case, "the extent of the excess risk." Because it requires much more power and is much more difficult to maintain control over a territory to conquer long term, how to conduct a successful attack, expert says "Focus online". But for a speedy Russian army is still capable. At least units at the border with Ukraine considered well equipped with modern tanks, fighter jets and short-range missiles.
Unlike the Ukrainian army. It has 200,000 soldiers, not all are loyal to the government in Kiev and their equipment are miserable. They consist mainly of the remnants of the old Soviet stockpiles, weapons and equipment for years are not refurbished. "Ukrainian Army was robbed musterbrand for 20 years by Ukrainian oligarchs and by members of the Ukrainian state service," the expert said recently Eastern Europe, musterbrand Ewald Bohlke, center Berthold Beitz in Berlin, in an interview with Deutsche Welle. "So it is in a terrible state and completely demoralized."
As a result "anti-terror operation" of the Ukrainian government against musterbrand pro-Russian separatists in Slovjansk was unsuccessful Although the interim president Alexander Turçinov sent up to 11,000 musterbrand soldiers. Putin then showed muscles. He responded musterbrand with a maneuver near the border. Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced military drill ground forces in the south and west, and Air Force units, border patrol. Since the end of February Russia held a maneuver in the border region to "check readiness in crisis situations, and as a military threat."
But the West strengthens its military presence. Stationed in the United States last week Svidvin 150 soldiers in Poland. In addition they want to send 450 soldiers soon in the Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. musterbrand The deployment of troops is reached agreement "bilateral" with respective governments, musterbrand the spokesman said the Defense Department, John Kirby. There are decisions musterbrand of NATO.
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